Nonlinear responses of phytoplankton size, diversity, and chlorophyll a to environmental forcing along the Yellow Sea

Phytoplankton are tiny drifting photosynthetic organisms that support marine food webs and help control the global carbon cycle. However, it remains unclear how ongoing environmental changes are altering their cell size, species diversity, and chlorophyll a concentration in coastal seas. In this study, we investigated changes in phytoplankton cell size, species diversity, and chlorophyll a concentration along the Yellow Sea coast of China from 2021 to 2024, based on fourteen research cruises conducted at twenty-six coastal stations. We then employed statistical models to explore how individual and combined environmental factors were related to those biological features. We observed a clear shift to predominance of smaller cells, a reduction in species diversity, and an increase in chlorophyll a concentration. pH and reduced dissolved inorganic nitrogen were strongly associated with smaller cell size, while higher salinity and higher oxygen were associated with lower diversity. Lower surface water temperature and higher dissolved oxygen were associated with higher chlorophyll a concentrations. Overall, our findings suggest that interacting changes in pH, nutrient supply, temperature, salinity, and oxygen are associated with a simpler phytoplankton community structure, smaller mean cell size, and higher biomass levels in the Yellow Sea coastal region, with potential consequences for local food webs and carbon cycling.