Rethinking Reallocations: Conceptual Limits of the Market Activity Index as a Measure of Competition and Purchasing...

Stadhouders et al1 introduce the Market Activity Index (MAI) to assess the performance of healthcare systems, concluding that low budget reallocations in the hospital sector cast doubt on the effectiveness of managed competition and purchasing. We argue that while the MAI is a valuable descriptive tool, its interpretation as a proxy for competition is conceptually problematic. The index captures realized revenue flows, which may result from patient mobility, exogenous shocks, or administrative changes, rather than insurer behavior. Furthermore, selective contracting may be used for objectives such as risk selection rather than provider efficiency, particularly in segments of the market with low utilization. Without a normative benchmark or ability to disentangle strategic from structural effects, the MAI risks conflating system dynamics with market failure. We conclude that the MAI is best viewed as a measure of budgetary volatility, not a standalone indicator of competitive intensity or purchaser effectiveness.