Proteomic phenotyping with machine learning for cardiovascular outcomes in haemodialysis: insights from the AURORA

Madonna Salib1, Sophie Girerd1,2, Florence Pinet3

  • 1Inserm, Centre d'Investigations Cliniques-1433, and Inserm U1116, CHRU Nancy, F-CRIN INI-CRCT, Université de Lorraine, 54500 Vandoeuvre-Les-Nancy, France.

Insights

Machine learning identified four patient phenotypes in hemodialysis patients. One phenotype, linked to toll-like receptors (TLRs) signaling, showed increased risk for cardiovascular death and mortality, suggesting personalized treatment approaches.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Proteomics
  • Machine Learning
  • Cardiovascular Medicine

Background:

  • Cardiovascular (CV) disease is a leading cause of mortality in patients undergoing hemodialysis, yet clinical trials have shown neutral results.
  • Personalized treatment strategies are needed to improve CV outcomes in this high-risk population.
  • Understanding distinct patient profiles is crucial for tailoring interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify distinct biological phenotypes in hemodialysis patients using proteomic data and machine learning.
  • To investigate the association of these phenotypes with cardiovascular outcomes.

Main Methods:

  • Unsupervised machine learning (clustering) was applied to plasma protein biomarkers from 382 hemodialysis patients (derivation cohort).
  • A decision tree model was built to predict cluster membership and assess CV outcomes in 389 patients (validation cohort).
  • Key prognostic factors were adjusted for in multivariable analyses.

Main Results:

  • Four distinct phenotypes were identified: 'cytokine storm signalling', 'toll-like receptors (TLRs) signalling', 'inflammation and fibrosis', and a 'reference phenotype'.
  • The 'TLRs signalling' phenotype was significantly associated with increased risk of CV death (HR=1.65), all-cause mortality (HR=1.43), and major adverse CV events (MACE) (HR=1.48) in the validation cohort.
  • These phenotypes represent distinct biological mechanisms contributing to patient risk.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning analysis of proteomic data successfully identified four biologically distinct phenotypes in hemodialysis patients.
  • The 'TLRs signalling' phenotype is associated with adverse CV outcomes, highlighting its clinical relevance.
  • These identified phenotypes offer potential targets for personalized therapies to improve CV prognosis in hemodialysis.
Abstract

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