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Differentiating Alcohol and Substance Use Disorders Using Multiclass Machine Learning Models Based on Routine

Azad Asaf1, Yavuz Selim Ogur2, Ayşe Erdoğan Kaya3

  • 1Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Hitit University Çorum Erol Olçok Education and Research Hospital, Çorum 19040, Türkiye.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Machine learning models analyzing routine hemogram parameters show promise in differentiating alcohol and substance use disorders. While effective, further validation is needed for clinical use.

Keywords:
alcohol dependencebiomarkerhematological parametersmachine learningsubstance dependence

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Area of Science:

  • Hematology
  • Machine Learning
  • Addiction Medicine

Background:

  • Clinical evaluation is standard for diagnosing alcohol and substance use disorders.
  • Objective biomarkers for these conditions are lacking, posing a diagnostic challenge.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the utility of routine hemogram parameters in differentiating alcohol use disorder (AUD), substance use disorder (SUD), and healthy controls.
  • To apply multiclass machine learning models for this classification task.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective case-control study involving 35 AUD patients, 61 SUD patients, and 132 controls.
  • Analysis of routine hematological parameters using Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models.
  • 10-fold cross-validation for performance evaluation using accuracy, sensitivity, precision, F1-score, and AUC.

Main Results:

  • Significant differences in monocyte count, basophil count, and RDW-CV were observed between groups.
  • The Random Forest model achieved the highest accuracy (81.6%) and AUC (0.93).
  • Classification performance varied, with lower sensitivity for the alcohol use disorder group.

Conclusions:

  • Routine hemogram parameters analyzed by machine learning offer a potential low-cost, accessible supportive tool for differentiating addiction-related conditions.
  • Findings are exploratory due to study limitations (retrospective, single-center, small sample size, lack of external validation).
  • Further research with larger datasets and explainable AI is necessary for clinical application.