An Enhanced Event-Based Model for Integrated Flight Safety of Fixed-Wing UAVs

To address the issues of safety risk analysis and conflict assessment for integrated flight of manned aircraft and fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in low-altitude mixed-operation airspace, this study enhances the foundational Event model. By incorporating UAV characteristics such as geometric features and aerodynamic mechanisms, alongside design dimensions and onboard performance metrics, an improved collision risk model is developed-the Enhanced Event-Based Framework for Multidimensional Geometry and Quasi-Monte Carlo Analysis of Flight Performance (EMGF-M). This enhancement rectifies the limitations of the basic model regarding parameter coverage and scenario adaptability, thereby improving the reliability and validity of the computational results. Experimental results demonstrate that, in accordance with the target safety level for airspace conflicts set by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), the application of the improved Event collision model yields quantifiable assessments of safety risks and safe separation distances for integrated operations in low-altitude mixed-use airspace. Utilizing these computational results for integrated flight procedure design at a general airport in Southwest China, the study shows that the air traffic flow in the low-altitude mixed-operation airspace increased from 9.2 to 20.9 operations per hour. The practical significance of this method lies in its guidance for accurately assessing safety risks in mixed airspace operations and for determining quantifiable separation minima for integrated flight trajectory planning.