Subclinical pulmonary congestion in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction assessed by computed tomography

Yufan Gao1,2, Keyi Cui2, Shuo Liang2

  • 1Academy of Medical Engineering and Translational Medicine, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China.

Frontiers in Radiology
|April 17, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Subclinical pulmonary congestion, measured by CT-derived extravascular lung water (EVLW), predicts in-hospital adverse events in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. Adding EVLW to the GRACE score improves risk prediction for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Radiology
  • Critical Care Medicine

Background:

  • ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients with Killip class 1 are considered low-risk, but some experience adverse events.
  • Subclinical pulmonary congestion may indicate early cardiac dysfunction.
  • Extravascular lung water (EVLW) measured by computed tomography (CT) can quantify pulmonary congestion.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the prognostic value of subclinical pulmonary congestion (EVLW via CT) in predicting in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in Killip class 1 STEMI patients.
  • To determine if adding EVLW to the GRACE score improves risk stratification.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 249 Killip class 1 STEMI patients undergoing pre-PCI CT.
  • EVLW calculated from mean lung density; GRACE score computed.
  • In-hospital MACE (mortality, heart failure, shock, arrest, stroke) as the primary endpoint.
  • ROC analysis, NRI, and IDI used to evaluate predictive improvement.

Main Results:

  • Patients with MACE (n=28) had higher GRACE scores and EVLW compared to those without.
  • Adding EVLW to the GRACE score significantly improved AUC (0.754 vs. 0.656, P=0.045).
  • Significant improvements in NRI (0.491, P=0.013) and IDI (0.060, P=0.019) were observed.

Conclusions:

  • CT-identified subclinical pulmonary congestion (EVLW) is associated with increased in-hospital MACE risk in Killip class 1 STEMI patients.
  • EVLW provides incremental prognostic value beyond the GRACE score for risk stratification.
  • This finding highlights the importance of assessing pulmonary congestion in STEMI management.
Abstract

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