Development of a Radiographic Scoring System to Estimate Acetabular Protrusion Risk in Patients with Osteolytic
Will Jiang1, Donghao Gan1, Steven Tommasini2
1Department of Orthopaedics & Rehabilitation, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
The Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery. American Volume
|April 22, 2026
Summary
A new scoring system identifies patients with periacetabular metastases at high risk for protrusio acetabuli. Early detection of bone defects in the acetabular dome is critical for preventing this painful complication.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic oncology
- Radiology
- Biomechanical engineering
Background:
- Periacetabular metastases can lead to protrusio acetabuli, a debilitating condition requiring surgery.
- Identifying structural changes predicting protrusio acetabuli is crucial for risk stratification.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify specific structural changes associated with progression to protrusio acetabuli.
- To develop a scoring system for risk stratification of patients with periacetabular metastases.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 87 patients with periacetabular metastases.
- Analysis of CT scans to evaluate bone destruction and cortical bone mass.
- Development of a radiographic risk scoring system and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
- Finite element analysis for biomechanical validation.
Main Results:
- Bone defects, thinning, or fractures in the middle-third (apex) of the acetabular dome, with contiguous involvement, predicted protrusio.
- A >50% decrease in acetabular dome cortical bone mass was associated with protrusio.
- The developed scoring system demonstrated 95.0% sensitivity and 91.0% specificity for protrusio progression with a score of ≥3.0.
- Cortical bone loss in the middle-third (apex) was biomechanically critical.
Conclusions:
- Clinical and radiographic predictors can stratify periacetabular metastasis patients by protrusio risk.
- Surgical stabilization of the acetabular dome's middle-third (apex) is key to preventing or delaying protrusio acetabuli.
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