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Updated: Apr 24, 2026

Evidence-based Knowledge Synthesis and Hypothesis Validation: Navigating Biomedical Knowledge Bases via Explainable AI and Agentic Systems
Published on: June 13, 2025
Integrating Confidence, Difficulty, and Language Model Calibration for Better Explainability in Clinical Documents
Mihai Horia Popescu1, Kevin Roitero1, Vincenzo Della Mea1
1Department of Mathematics, Computer Science and Physics (DMIF), University of Udine, via Delle Scienze, 206, Udine, 33100, Italy, 39 0432 558400.
This study enhances the interpretability of deep learning models for clinical document annotation. By using calibrated confidence and saliency maps, we improve trust in AI for medical applications.
Area of Science:
- Artificial Intelligence
- Machine Learning
- Clinical Informatics
Background:
- Increasing interest in deep learning for clinical document annotation.
- Challenges in interpretability and transparency of complex models.
Purpose of the Study:
- Improve interpretability of transformer models for clinical document annotation.
- Evaluate explainability of deep learning models using coded clinical data from death certificates.
- Leverage calibrated confidence, saliency maps, and instance difficulty for model interpretation.
Main Methods:
- Utilized disease language bidirectional encoder representations from transformers (DiBERT) pretrained on International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD) data.
- Analyzed death certificate data (2014-2017) with textualized ICD codes.
- Applied temperature scaling for model calibration and Variance of Gradients for instance difficulty analysis.
- Employed saliency maps (Integrated Gradients) for word-level attribution.
Main Results:
- Achieved high accuracy (0.990) in predicting the cause of death.
- Demonstrated good initial model calibration (Expected Calibration Error: 1.40).
- Showcased effectiveness of Variance of Gradients in analyzing model behavior and identifying out-of-distribution cases.
Conclusions:
- Enhanced interpretability and explainability improve the practical utility of deep learning in clinical document annotation.
- Proposed approaches support trustworthy application of AI in critical medical settings.
- Highlighted the need to address data limitations for robust performance, especially in complex cases.
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