Incidence and Severity of Type 1 Diabetes in Children Through the COVID-19 Pandemic in Chile

Consuelo Kutz1, Gonzalo Alarcón-Andrade1,2, Esteban Aguilera3

  • 1Division of Pediatrics, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.

Pediatrics
|April 22, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) incidence and severity significantly increased in Chilean children during the COVID-19 pandemic. Rates returned to prepandemic trends after 2021, suggesting a potential causal link.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Endocrinology
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Global reports indicate rising type 1 diabetes (T1D) incidence and severity during the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • This study investigates these trends in Chilean children under 20 years old.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the incidence and severity of T1D in Chilean individuals under 20 years old during the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • To compare pandemic-era T1D onset with prepandemic trends and assess diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) rates.

Main Methods:

  • Population-based analysis of T1D incidence (2007-2023) in individuals under 20 using a nationwide registry.
  • Statistical modeling (SARIMA) to predict and compare incidence rates; Fisher's exact test for DKA proportion analysis (2016-2023).

Main Results:

  • T1D incidence in those under 20 increased from 7.4 to 13.9 cases per 100,000 by 2023.
  • Higher incidence observed in 10-14 year olds and during winter; DKA rates significantly increased from 64.3% to 75.9% (2020-2023).
  • Pandemic-era incidence exceeded SARIMA predictions in 2020-2021, with DKA rates significantly higher post-2019.

Conclusions:

  • A significant rise in T1D incidence and severity (DKA) occurred in Chilean children during the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Trends returned to prepandemic levels after 2021, but a potential causal relationship with the pandemic is suggested.
  • The study provides crucial data on T1D trends and severity post-2021 in this pediatric population.
Abstract

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