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Uncertainty-Aware Evidential Multi-Modal Fusion Network for Large-Scale Multi-Center Major Depressive Disorder

Zhaoyang Cong, Ziyang Wang, Fanyu Jiang

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    This study introduces an AI network for diagnosing major depressive disorder (MDD) using brain imaging. The novel method improves accuracy and reliability in multi-center studies by quantifying diagnostic uncertainty.

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    Area of Science:

    • Neuroscience
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Medical Imaging

    Background:

    • Clinical diagnosis of major depressive disorder (MDD) relies on subjective assessments, necessitating objective automated methods.
    • Existing neuroimaging fusion techniques struggle with modality reliability, uncertainty quantification, and multi-center site effects.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To develop an uncertainty-aware evidential multimodal fusion network for large-scale, multi-center MDD classification.
    • To address limitations in dynamic modality assessment, prediction uncertainty, and generalizability across different research sites.

    Main Methods:

    • Proposed an uncertainty-aware evidential multimodal fusion network incorporating deep functional feature extractors (DFFE) and dual-stream hierarchical feature fusion (DS-HFF) for fMRI and sMRI.
    • Utilized Dempster-Shafer theory (DST) for an Evidential Multimodal Fusion (EMF) strategy to represent modality evidence with explicit uncertainty.
    • Implemented site-adversarial regularization for learning site-invariant features and evaluated using a leave-one-site-out cross-validation (LOSO-CV) on the REST-meta-MDD dataset (1,601 subjects, 16 sites).

    Main Results:

    • The proposed method outperformed existing approaches on the REST-meta-MDD dataset.
    • Demonstrated superior uncertainty calibration compared to Softmax and MC Dropout baselines.
    • An uncertainty-based rejection mechanism enhanced classification performance, and interpretability analysis identified key brain regions consistent with MDD pathophysiology.

    Conclusions:

    • The developed framework offers a robust, trustworthy, and interpretable solution for multi-center MDD diagnosis.
    • The uncertainty-aware approach effectively handles multi-center data challenges and improves diagnostic reliability.
    • Findings support the potential of AI-driven neuroimaging analysis for objective MDD assessment.