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Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighting Propensity Score using the Military Health System Data Repository and National Death Index
Published on: January 8, 2020
A review and evaluation of doubly robust approaches for estimating average treatment effects
Jingyu Zhang1, Oliver Lüdtke2,3, Alexander Robitzsch2,3
1IPN - Leibniz Institute for Science and Mathematics Education, Olshausenstraße 62, 24118, Kiel, Germany. zhang@leibniz-ipn.de.
Abstract:
In nonexperimental studies, obtaining an unbiased estimate of the average treatment effect (ATE) typically requires two key assumptions: that all relevant covariates are measured (i.e., no unmeasured confounding) and that the statistical model used for covariate adjustment is correctly specified. Two common approaches for adjustment are specifying an outcome model and propensity score weighting. To mitigate bias from model misspecification, doubly robust methods combine both approaches, ensuring unbiased ATE estimates if either the outcome model or the propensity score model is correctly specified. In this study, we review four doubly robust methods that have received considerable attention in the methodological literature but remain underutilized in psychological research: augmented inverse probability weighting, regression weighted by the inverse propensity score, regression incorporating the inverse propensity score as a covariate, and calibrated propensity score weighting. Using two simulation studies, we compare these methods with regression estimation and inverse probability weighting estimators. Our results suggest that doubly robust methods-particularly regression weighted by the inverse propensity score-offer greater protection against bias from model misspecification across various data-generating scenarios. We also discuss practical considerations for implementing doubly robust methods, including weight normalization, propensity score truncation, and potential efficiency losses due to overfitting. The different methods for estimating the ATE are illustrated in a data example.
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