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Transferability of Patient Selection Model for Proton Radiation Therapy to Lower-Income European Countries
Bertalan Németh1, Diana Delnoij2, Saskia Knies2
1Syreon Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary.
Value in Health Regional Issues
|April 24, 2026
Summary
The Normal Tissue Complication Probability (NTCP) model improves head and neck cancer treatment selection. Transferring this model to lower-income European countries requires addressing data gaps and expert shortages, with recommendations for real-world data sharing and collaboration.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Health Technology Assessment
- Radiotherapy
Background:
- Proton therapy offers an alternative to photon therapy for head and neck cancer.
- The Normal Tissue Complication Probability (NTCP) model aids patient selection in cancer treatment.
- Health Technology Assessment (HTA) plays a crucial role in healthcare decision-making, particularly in lower-income European countries (LIECs).
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the transferability of the NTCP model for head and neck cancer to LIECs.
- To support HTA recommendations in LIECs by adapting the NTCP model.
- To identify challenges and solutions for implementing the NTCP model in resource-limited settings.
Main Methods:
- Utilized two workshops (November 2022, May 2023) within the HTx project to define transferability scope for head and neck cancer.
- Convened a final workshop (November 2023) with HTA experts from LIECs and HTx consortium representatives to review draft recommendations.
- Employed anonymous voting by experts to rank challenges in NTCP model transferability and facilitated discussions on potential solutions.
Main Results:
- Key challenges identified include lack of local data, differing patient pathways, and a shortage of HTA experts in LIECs.
- Workshop participants recognized the NTCP model as an advancement over existing HTA methods.
- Recommendations emphasize real-world data dissemination, stakeholder collaboration, and consideration of transferability for adapting novel methods.
Conclusions:
- A multinational expert panel concluded the NTCP model surpasses current HTA methods for head and neck cancer.
- Five key recommendations were formulated to address adoption challenges of the NTCP model in LIECs.
- Facilitating the transfer of the NTCP model can enhance HTA practices in lower-income European countries.

