Assessing the Generalizability of Machine Learning and Physics-Based Methods with DNA-Encoded Libraries
Marissa Dolorfino1,2, Daniel Santos Perez1, Yao Fu1
1Department of Medicinal Chemistry, University of Michigan.
Biorxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
|April 27, 2026
Summary
Machine learning models struggle to predict drug candidates outside their training data. Integrating structural modeling improves predictions for DNA-encoded libraries (DELs), but optimal methods depend on the specific target and molecule.
Area of Science:
- Drug discovery and development
- Computational chemistry
- Machine learning in cheminformatics
Background:
- DNA-encoded libraries (DELs) offer vast chemical space screening.
- Machine learning (ML) models trained on DEL data often fail to generalize to novel chemical structures (out-of-distribution, OOD).
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if structural modeling methods can improve the generalization of ML models for DEL data.
- To assess the performance of ML, docking, and co-folding methods for OOD hit discrimination.
Main Methods:
- Systematic assessment of state-of-the-art ML, docking, and co-folding algorithms.
- Evaluation across three diverse protein targets and multiple DEL synthesis formats.
- Analysis of in-distribution and OOD performance for hit identification.
Main Results:
- ML models perform well on in-distribution data but poorly on OOD chemical space.
- Optimal OOD hit discrimination is dependent on the specific protein target and ligand.
- Structural modeling approaches show potential for bridging the generalization gap.
Conclusions:
- Rigorous, system-specific pilot testing is essential for reliable virtual screening predictions.
- Aggregated benchmark performance may not reflect real-world applicability.
- Open-source tools (DEL-iver) are provided to facilitate these workflows.
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