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Comparison of Physical Performance and Muscle Thickness Between Older Women with High and Low Fall Risk: A Bayesian
Claudineia Matos de Araujo1,2,3,4, Rafael Pereira1,2,3, Joanderson Felipe Soares Silva1,2,5
1Integrative Physiology Research Center, Department of Biological Sciences, Universidade Estadual do Sudoeste da Bahia (UESB), Jequié 45210-506, Bahia, Brazil.
Geriatrics (Basel, Switzerland)
|April 27, 2026
Summary
Older women at low risk for falls performed better on the 3-meter walk test (3mWT) and 3-meter backward walk test (3mBWT). These tests effectively differentiate fall risk in elderly women.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Kinesiology
- Biomedical Engineering
Background:
- Falls are a significant concern for older adults, impacting independence and quality of life.
- Identifying individuals at high risk for falls is crucial for implementing preventive strategies.
- Muscle thickness and functional performance are potential indicators of fall risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare muscle thickness and functional test performance between older adults with low and high fall risk.
- To evaluate the effectiveness of specific functional tests in predicting fall risk in elderly women.
Main Methods:
- Seventy-one community-dwelling older women were stratified into low and high fall risk groups using the Berg Balance Scale (BBS).
- Functional performance was assessed using the Timed Up and Go Test (TUGT), 5-repetition sit-to-stand test (5xSST), 3-meter walk test (3mWT), and 3-meter backward walk test (3mBWT).
- Elbow flexor and knee extensor muscle thickness were measured using ultrasound (USD). Bayesian analysis was employed to assess the robustness of findings.
Main Results:
- The low-fall-risk group demonstrated significantly better performance in the 3mWT and 3mBWT.
- Bayesian analysis indicated a high probability (98.7% for 3mWT, 99.7% for 3mBWT) that the low-fall-risk group outperformed the high-fall-risk group.
- No significant differences in muscle thickness were reported between the groups.
Conclusions:
- The 3-meter walk test (3mWT) and 3-meter backward walk test (3mBWT) are highly effective instruments for differentiating fall risk in older women.
- These functional tests provide valuable insights into fall prediction and can aid in targeted interventions for fall prevention.
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