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Brain Infarct Segmentation and Registration on MRI or CT for Lesion-symptom Mapping
Published on: September 25, 2019
Same-territory chronic infarcts are common in intracranial atherosclerosis and are associated with future recurrence
Davor Pavlin Premrl1, Benjamin Churilov2, Vincent Thijs3,4
1Neurology, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia.
Insights
Chronic same-territory infarcts are common in patients with intracranial atherosclerotic disease (ICAD). These infarcts better predict future ischemic events than severe stenosis or hypoperfusion.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Vascular Neurology
- Stroke Medicine
Background:
- Intracranial atherosclerotic disease (ICAD) carries a high risk of recurrent symptomatic events.
- Understanding predictors of recurrence is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the prevalence of same-territory chronic infarcts in symptomatic ICAD patients.
- To evaluate the ability of chronic infarcts to predict future same-territory ischemic events.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from two Australian stroke centers.
- 135 symptomatic ICAD patients were followed for 12 months for recurrent ischemia.
- Prognostic characteristics including chronic infarcts, >70% stenosis, and CT-perfusion hypoperfusion were analyzed for predictive ability using ROC analysis and BIC.
Main Results:
- 21% of patients had chronic same-territory infarcts.
- Recurrent events occurred in 31% of patients with chronic infarcts versus 10% without (OR 3.9, p=0.008).
- Chronic infarcts demonstrated superior model fit (AUC 0.64) compared to >70% stenosis (AUC 0.58) and CT-perfusion hypoperfusion, outperforming combinations of these factors.
Conclusions:
- Chronic same-territory infarcts are prevalent in symptomatic ICAD.
- Chronic infarcts are significant predictors of future same-territory ischemic cerebrovascular events.
- Chronic infarcts offer better prognostic discrimination than severe stenosis or hypoperfusion on CTP.
Background:
Intracranial atherosclerotic disease (ICAD) has a high risk of symptomatic recurrence. We investigated the prevalence of same-territory chronic infarcts among symptomatic ICAD patients, and their ability to discriminate between absence and presence of future same-territory ischaemic events.
Methods:
In a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from two Australian stroke centres, patients were followed for recurrent ischaemia over 12 months. Ability to discriminate between absence and presence of recurrent stroke/TIA (Area-under-curve (AUC) in receiver-operating-characteristic analysis) and degree of model fit (Bayesian information criterion (BIC)) were compared for prognostic characteristics of chronic same-territory stroke, >70% stenosis and CT-perfusion hypoperfusion.
Results:
From 2019 to 2020, 135 patients had symptomatic ICAD, mean age 73.8 (SD±13.2) and 57/135 (42%) female, of whom 29/135 (21%) had chronic same-territory infarcts. Over a 12-month follow-up period, recurrent cerebrovascular events occurred in 9/29 (31%) patients with, and in 11/106 (10%) without, chronic same-territory stroke (OR 3.9 95% CI 1.4 to 10.6, p=0.008). In discrimination and model fit analysis, BIC indicated strong evidence for improved model fit, for same-territory chronic infarction (AUC 0.64) vs >70% stenosis (AUC 0.58, p=0.59; BIC difference 4.7). In n=99 with CT-perfusion, chronic infarct showed better fit than CT-perfusion hypoperfusion (0.64 vs 0.61, p=0.79; BIC difference 2.8). Chronic infarct alone also outperformed all combinations of chronic infarct, hypoperfusion and >70% stenosis in model fit.
Conclusions:
Chronic same-territory infarcts are common among patients presenting with symptomatic ICAD and can better discriminate future same-territory ischaemic cerebrovascular events over a 12-month period than stenosis>70% and hypoperfusion on CTP.
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