Mortality in Relation to Brachial Versus Central Ambulatory Blood Pressure

De-Wei An1, Ying Wang1, Yi-Bang Cheng1

  • 1Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Hypertension, State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, National Research Centre for Translational Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, China (D.-W.A., Y.W., Y.-B.C., D.-Y.Z., Q.-F.H., J.-F.H., M.-X.L., Q.-H.G., C.-S.S., T.-Y.X., J.-G.W., J.A.S., Y.L.).

Insights

Central systolic blood pressure (cSBP) did not offer better mortality risk prediction than brachial systolic blood pressure (bSBP) in 24-hour ambulatory monitoring. Brachial systolic blood pressure measurement is sufficient for cardiovascular risk stratification.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Hypertension Research
  • Predictive Analytics in Medicine

Background:

  • The clinical utility of central systolic blood pressure (cSBP) over brachial systolic blood pressure (bSBP) for risk stratification is debated.
  • This study evaluated the association of 24-hour ambulatory cSBP and bSBP with total and cardiovascular mortality.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine if 24-hour ambulatory cSBP provides superior risk stratification for mortality compared to bSBP.
  • To assess the association of calibrated cSBP (cSBPc1, cSBPc2) and bSBP with cardiovascular outcomes.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of the Shanghai Ruijin Ambulatory BP Monitoring Registry (2017-2023) including 36,594 participants.
  • 24-hour ambulatory bSBP and cSBP were recorded; cSBP was calibrated using two methods (cSBPc1, cSBPc2).
  • Cox proportional hazard regression models (linear and nonlinear) were used to assess associations with total and cardiovascular mortality over a median follow-up of 4.0 years.

Main Results:

  • Nonlinear Cox models showed a better fit than linear models for both total and cardiovascular mortality (P<0.001).
  • Adding 24-hour SBP to the base model improved risk prediction (C statistics, P≤0.06).
  • Adding calibrated cSBP (cSBPc1 or cSBPc2) to a model already including bSBP did not significantly improve risk prediction (P>0.054).

Conclusions:

  • Central systolic blood pressure (cSBP) measurement did not enhance mortality risk prediction compared to brachial systolic blood pressure (bSBP).
  • Standard 24-hour ambulatory brachial systolic blood pressure monitoring is adequate for blood pressure-based risk stratification.
Abstract

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