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Related Experiment Video

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Deep Learning for Survival Prediction in Glioblastoma: Time-dependent Model Interpretability Using MRI, Clinical, and

Junhyeok Lee1, Young Hun Jeon2, Joon Jang3

  • 1Interdisciplinary Programs in Cancer Biology, Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Radiology. Artificial Intelligence
|April 29, 2026
PubMed
Summary

A new multimodal model integrating MRI, clinical, and molecular data improves glioblastoma survival prediction. This advanced imaging-derived prognostic index offers sustained importance over time.

Keywords:
BrainBrain StemCentral Nervous SystemComparative StudiesFeature DetectionMRINeuro-OncologyPrimary NeoplasmsPrognosisRadiology-Pathology IntegrationRandom Survival Forest

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Area of Science:

  • Neuro-oncology
  • Medical Imaging
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • Glioblastoma survival prediction is challenging.
  • Integrating diverse data types can enhance prognostic accuracy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a multimodal model for glioblastoma survival prediction.
  • To achieve time-dependent interpretability of prognostic factors.

Main Methods:

  • A deep learning-based prognostic index (DPI) was generated from preoperative multiparametric MRI using a Vision Transformer.
  • The DPI was integrated with clinical (age, KPS, EOR) and molecular (IDH, MGMT) variables using a random survival forest model.
  • Model performance was assessed using concordance index (C-index) and interpretability via Survival SHapley Additive Explanations (SurvSHAP(t)).

Main Results:

  • The multimodal model achieved C-indexes of 0.77 (internal) and 0.73/0.63 (external), outperforming the image-only model.
  • The imaging-derived DPI was a strong predictor, showing moderate correlations with clinical and molecular variables.
  • SurvSHAP(t) revealed time-dependent importance for factors like extent of resection and MGMT promoter methylation.

Conclusions:

  • The multimodal model demonstrates robust performance for glioblastoma survival prediction.
  • The imaging-derived prognostic index serves as a valuable, complementary biomarker with enduring prognostic significance.