Performance of open-source large language models on nephrology self-assessment program

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong performance in medical question-answering tasks, highlighting their potential for clinical decision support and medical education. However, their effectiveness in subspecialty areas such as nephrology remains underexplored. In this study, we assess the performance of open-source LLMs in answering multiple-choice questions from the Nephrology Self-Assessment Program (NephSAP) to better understand their capabilities and limitations within this specialized clinical domain.

We evaluated the performance of five open-source large language models (LLMs): PodGPT which a podcast-pretrained model focused on STEMM disciplines, Llama 3.2-11B, Mistral-7B-Instruct-v0.2, Falcon3-10B-Instruct, and Gemma-2-9B-it. Each model was tested on its ability to answer multiple-choice questions derived from the NephSAP. Model performance was quantified using accuracy, defined as the proportion of correctly answered questions. In addition, the quality of the models' explanatory responses was assessed using several natural language processing (NLP) metrics: Bilingual Evaluation Understudy (BLEU), Word Error Rate (WER), cosine similarity, and Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level (FKGL). For qualitative analysis, three board-certified nephrologists reviewed 40 randomly selected model responses to identify factual and clinical reasoning errors, with performance summarized as average error ratios based on the proportion of error-associated words per response.

Among the evaluated models, PodGPT achieved the highest accuracy (64.77%), whereas Llama showed the lowest performance with an accuracy of 45.08%. Qualitative analysis showed that PodGPT had the lowest factual error rate (0.017), while Llama and Falcon achieved the lowest reasoning error rates (0.038).

This study highlights the importance of STEMM-based training to enhance the reasoning capabilities and reliability of LLMs in clinical contexts, supporting the development of more effective AI-driven decision-support tools in nephrology and other medical specialties.