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Predictors of Early Mortality in Acute Myeloid Leukemia: A Population Based Analysis Using SEER Data
Shahzaib Maqbool1, Mohammad Ebad Ur Rehman2, Ahmad Iftikhar3
1Department of Internal Medicine, HCA Healthcare Kansas City/Centerpoint Medical Center, Independence, MO.
Clinical Lymphoma, Myeloma & Leukemia
|May 3, 2026
Summary
Early mortality in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) remains high, particularly for older adults. Chemotherapy receipt significantly reduces early death risk, and outcomes have improved with newer treatments.
Area of Science:
- Hematology
- Oncology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) presents a significant challenge due to high early mortality rates, disproportionately affecting elderly patients and those with limited healthcare access.
- Understanding predictors of early death is crucial for improving outcomes in AML patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify demographic and disease-related factors associated with early mortality in non-M3 AML.
- To analyze trends in early mortality across different treatment eras.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort analysis of 37,835 non-M3 AML patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 8 database (1975-2022).
- Evaluation of early mortality at 1 month (EM1) and 2 months (EM2) post-diagnosis.
- Binary logistic regression to determine predictors of early mortality, reporting odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
Main Results:
- Overall early mortality rates were 33.4% at 1 month and 39.7% at 2 months.
- Mortality significantly increased with age, reaching 52.8% (EM1) and 62.3% (EM2) in patients over 75.
- Chemotherapy receipt substantially reduced early mortality (EM1 OR 0.19, EM2 OR 0.12) and outcomes improved across treatment eras (chemotherapy, HMA, venetoclax).
Conclusions:
- Early mortality in non-M3 AML is significantly influenced by patient age, chemotherapy receipt, and AML subtype.
- Improvements in treatment access and supportive care for high-risk individuals are essential to reduce early deaths.
- Outcomes have progressively improved with advancements in AML treatment strategies.
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