Progranulin Is a Useful Biomarker to Predict Mortality in ICU Patients with Low Burden of Organ Dysfunction

Jochen Johannes Schoettler1, Lutz Pridzun2, Bertram Flehmig2

  • 1Department of Anesthesiology, Surgical Intensive Care Medicine and Pain Medicine, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany.

Biomedicines
|May 4, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Progranulin (PGRN) levels can predict in-hospital mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with low burden of organ dysfunction (BOD). Serial PGRN measurements offer prognostic value where traditional scores like SOFA may underestimate risk.

Area of Science:

  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Biomarkers
  • Prognostic Medicine

Background:

  • Early prognostication for critically ill patients with low burden of organ dysfunction (BOD) is challenging.
  • Progranulin (PGRN), a hypoxia-inducible and anti-inflammatory protein, may hold prognostic significance.
  • Investigating PGRN's role in predicting mortality in ICU patients stratified by BOD.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine if plasma Progranulin (PGRN) levels predict in-hospital mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients.
  • To stratify patients based on burden of organ dysfunction (BOD) using Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores.
  • To evaluate the prognostic value of initial PGRN concentrations and kinetic parameters.

Main Methods:

  • Secondary analysis of a prospectively recruited ICU cohort (n=99).
  • Patients categorized into low (SOFA ≤ 8) and high (SOFA > 8) BOD groups.
  • Plasma PGRN measured every 8 h for up to 5 days; initial values and kinetics (max, mean, NAS) analyzed against in-hospital mortality using logistic regression and AUROC.

Main Results:

  • In low BOD patients (n=53), PGRN kinetics (max, mean, NAS) significantly predicted mortality (AUROC 0.738-0.815, p≤0.016).
  • No PGRN metrics predicted mortality in high BOD patients (n=46; AUROC < 0.61, p>0.25).
  • Maximum PGRN levels predicted death at least 32 hours in advance; SOFA and CRP were not predictive in low BOD patients.

Conclusions:

  • Serial Progranulin (PGRN) measurements provide prognostic information, especially in ICU patients with low burden of organ dysfunction (BOD).
  • PGRN offers value in identifying patients at risk of deterioration where conventional scores like SOFA may be insufficient.
  • Findings support further research into PGRN for early risk stratification in critical illness.

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