Progressive Spatiotemporal Graph Modeling for Spacecraft Anomaly Detection

The growing number of on-orbit spacecraft and the increasing volume of telemetry data have made intelligent anomaly detection in multi-channel telemetry essential for mission operations. Current spacecraft anomaly detection methods primarily rely on statistical models or time-series deep learning approaches, which often fail to explicitly model spatiotemporal dependencies across multiple telemetry channels. This shortcoming limits their ability to capture the dynamically evolving and intricately coupled relationships between variables. To overcome this limitation, a Progressive Spatiotemporal Graph (PSTG) model is proposed for anomaly detection in multi-channel spacecraft telemetry. PSTG employs a multi-scale patch embedding module to extract hierarchical semantic features from multi-channel time series, effectively reducing the dimensionality of the spatiotemporal graph. It constructs a sparse adjacency matrix using a multi-head attention mechanism that integrates intra-channel temporal dynamics, inter-channel spatial correlations, and cross-channel spatiotemporal interactions. An improved multi-head graph attention network then captures pairwise dependencies among nodes within the adjacency matrix. As a result, PSTG encodes rich spatiotemporal representations derived from intricate variable interactions, enabling accurate, real-time prediction of multi-channel telemetry. Furthermore, a dynamic thresholding mechanism is incorporated into PSTG to perform online anomaly detection based on prediction residuals. Extensive experiments on real-world spacecraft telemetry data collected over 84 months show that PSTG outperforms eleven state-of-the-art benchmark methods in almost all cases across multiple evaluation metrics. Finally, visualizations of the learned adjacency and attention matrices are presented to interpret the spatiotemporal modeling process, providing operators with actionable insights into the detected anomalies and facilitating root cause analysis.