CT-Based Radiomic Signatures Associated with Serum CEA Status in Colon Cancer

Background/Objectives: Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is widely used in colon cancer management; however, its diagnostic and prognostic accuracy is limited by biological variability, as well as false-positive or false-negative results. Radiomics provides quantitative descriptors of tumor heterogeneity and offers objective assessment of tumor characteristics. This study aimed to evaluate the potential of computed tomography (CT)-based radiomic features to distinguish between CEA-positive and CEA-negative colon cancer patients. Methods: In this retrospective study, 150 patients with histopathologically confirmed colon cancer were screened, and 109 were eligible after image-quality assessment (53 CEA-positive, 56 CEA-negative). A total of 107 radiomic features were extracted from preoperative contrast-enhanced CT images. After z-score normalization, feature robustness was assessed using intra- and inter-observer agreement. Correlation-based feature selection (|ρ| ≥ 0.7) was applied. Five machine-learning classifiers-Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Tree, Ensemble, k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN), and Neural Network (NN)-were trained using stratified 5-fold cross-validation. Performance was evaluated using accuracy, recall, specificity, F1-score, and ROC-AUC. Results: The best performance was obtained with 41 selected features. The k-NN classifier achieved the highest accuracy (77.4 ± 2%) and ROC-AUC (0.8523 ± 0.013), while SVM and NN achieved the highest recall (83.0 ± 0.3). These models showed balanced and robust performance in distinguishing CEA-positive from CEA-negative patients. Conclusions: CT-based radiomic analysis combined with machine learning-particularly k-NN, SVM, and neural network classifiers-showed promising performance in differentiating colon cancer patients according to serum CEA status. Radiomic features may provide imaging-based information associated with serum biomarkers such as CEA, potentially enhancing tumor characterization and supporting more personalized decision-making.