Routine Biomarkers in Paediatric Appendicitis Stratification: Which Add Diagnostic Value? A Retrospective Cohort...

Preoperative differentiation between uncomplicated and complicated paediatric appendicitis remains challenging. This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of routine admission biomarkers and blood cell count-derived inflammatory indices for severity stratification and to determine whether fibrinogen provides additional predictive value beyond commonly used markers.

We conducted a retrospective single-centre study (2018-2025) using electronically recorded clinical data. Patients with suspected appendicitis were identified through appendicitis-related ICD-10 codes and diagnostically validated. The final analytical cohort required complete admission laboratory data, including C-reactive protein (CRP), fibrinogen, and complete blood count parameters. Derived inflammatory indices included the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII). Diagnostic discrimination and multivariable prediction models were evaluated to assess the ability of these markers to distinguish complicated from uncomplicated appendicitis.

Of 1518 screened records, 1132 patients met inclusion criteria (620 complicated; 512 uncomplicated). Complicated appendicitis was associated with higher inflammatory markers and longer hospital stay (all p < 0.001). CRP demonstrated the strongest univariable discrimination (area under the curve [AUC] 0.785), while fibrinogen showed lower performance (AUC 0.744). A combined model including CRP, NLR, and SII achieved good discrimination (AUC 0.812), with minimal improvement after adding fibrinogen (AUC 0.813). In multivariable analysis, log-transformed CRP and SII remained independently associated with complicated appendicitis (both p < 0.001). A rule-out probability threshold of 0.303 achieved 90% sensitivity (negative predictive value 0.803), whereas a CRP cut-off ≥92.24 mg/L showed high specificity (0.943) and positive predictive value (0.900).

Routine admission biomarkers and inflammatory indices derived from complete blood counts can support severity stratification in paediatric appendicitis. CRP and SII provide meaningful predictive information, whereas fibrinogen contributes little additional discriminatory value beyond CRP-based models. These findings suggest that a small set of routinely available laboratory markers may assist early risk stratification, although external validation is required before clinical implementation.