Multimodal Deep Learning for Prediction of Progression-Free Survival in Patients with Neuroendocrine Tumors...

Background/Objectives: Peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT) is an established treatment for metastatic neuroendocrine tumors (NETs), yet long-term disease control occurs only in a subset of patients. Predicting progression-free survival (PFS) could support individualized treatment planning. This study evaluates laboratory, imaging, and multimodal deep learning models for PFS prediction in PRRT-treated patients. Methods: In this retrospective, single-center study 116 patients with metastatic NETs undergoing [177Lu]Lu-DOTATOC were included. Clinical characteristics, laboratory values, and pretherapeutic somatostatin receptor positron emission tomography/computed tomographies (SR-PET/CTs) were collected. Seven models were trained to classify low- vs. high-PFS groups, including unimodal (laboratory, SR-PET, or CT) and multimodal fusion approaches. Performance was assessed via repeated 3-fold cross-validation with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC). Explainability was evaluated by feature importance analysis and gradient based saliency maps. Results: Forty-two patients (36%) displayed short PFS (≤1 year) and 74 patients displayed long PFS (>1 year). Groups were similar in most characteristics, except for higher baseline chromogranin A (p = 0.003), elevated γ-GT (p = 0.002), and fewer PRRT cycles (p < 0.001) in short-PFS patients. The Random Forest model trained only on laboratory biomarkers reached an AUROC of 0.59 ± 0.02. Unimodal three-dimensional convolutional neural networks using SR-PET or CT performed worse (AUROC 0.42 ± 0.03 and 0.54 ± 0.01, respectively). A multimodal fusion model integrating laboratory values, SR-PET, and CT-augmented with a pretrained CT branch-achieved the best results (AUROC 0.72 ± 0.01, AUPRC 0.80 ± 0.01). Explainability analyses provided insights into model predictions, with explainability patterns in the fusion model appearing physiologically plausible and predominantly tumor-focused. Conclusions: Multimodal deep learning combining SR-PET, CT, and laboratory biomarkers outperformed unimodal approaches for PFS prediction after PRRT. Upon external validation, such models may support risk-adapted follow-up strategies.