PSA Density and PIRADS 5 Lesions as Key Determinants of Upstaging After Radical Prostatectomy

Introduction: Clinical staging based on digital rectal examination is imprecise, leading to pathological upstaging in patients with prostate cancer (PCa). Accurate preoperative assessment remains a challenge despite the use of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) and fusion-guided biopsy. This study aims to identify key predictors of upstaging in preoperative patients. Materials and Methods: A retrospective analysis of 924 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy between July 2012 and January 2025 was performed. Variables included prostate-specific antigen, prostate volume, biopsy type, MRI, body mass index and age. Upstaging was defined as ≥pT3 in patients staged clinically as cT1-2. Optimal cut-offs for continuous variables were defined statistically. Multivariable logistic regression was applied to identify independent predictors of upstaging and minor staging upgrading (MSU)-defined as any upward shift in the pathological T stage relative to the clinical T stage. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Results: Upstaging occurred in 31.9% and MSU in 50.6% of patients. The mean age was 65 years. Cut-off values for PSA density (PSAD) were 0.29 for upstaging and 0.28 for MSU. In the full-cohort model (AUC = 0.628), PSAD (odds ratio (OR) = 2.55), age (OR = 1.04), and hypertension (HT) (OR = 1.47) were associated with upstaging. In PIRADS-based models, PIRADS 5 and PSAD predicted both upstaging (OR = 1.62 and 6.10, respectively; AUC = 0.664) and MSU (OR = 1.75 and 4.67, respectively; AUC = 0.659). MSU was also associated with HT and a lack of fusion biopsy (AUC = 0.622). Conclusions: PSAD and PIRADS 5 lesions are strong determinants of pathological upstaging and MSU in PCa. These factors should be considered in preoperative risk stratification to improve staging accuracy. Despite advances in imaging and biopsy techniques, upstaging remains a common phenomenon, underlining the need for further refinement of diagnostic protocols.