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Experiment-Driven Gaussian Process Surrogate Modeling and Bayesian Optimization for Multi-Objective Injection

Hanafy M Omar1, Saad M S Mukras1

  • 1Department of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, Qassim University, Buraydah 52571, Saudi Arabia.

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|May 4, 2026
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces an experiment-driven machine learning approach for optimizing injection molding (IM) parameters. It successfully identifies key process variables, offering a practical alternative to simulation-based methods for smart manufacturing.

Keywords:
BayesianGaussian regressionhigh-density polyethyleneinjection moldingmachine learningoptimizationshrinkagewarpage

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Area of Science:

  • Materials Science
  • Manufacturing Engineering
  • Data Science

Background:

  • Traditional injection molding (IM) optimization relies heavily on simulations, which fail to account for real-world machine variability and process noise.
  • This limitation hinders the achievement of optimal part quality and manufacturing efficiency.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate an experiment-driven machine learning framework for multi-objective optimization of IM process parameters.
  • To identify key parameters influencing volumetric shrinkage, warpage, cycle time, and part weight.

Main Methods:

  • Conducted physical experiments using a face-centered central composite design on an industrial IM machine with high-density polyethylene.
  • Benchmarked Gaussian process regression against other ML algorithms, identifying it as the best surrogate model for most quality metrics.
  • Employed constrained Bayesian optimization with progressive constraint tightening for parameter optimization.

Main Results:

  • Gaussian process regression demonstrated superior performance for predicting most quality metrics, though warpage prediction remained challenging.
  • Holding time was identified as the most influential parameter across multiple quality responses.
  • Validated optimal parameter configurations against a held-out test set, confirming the framework's effectiveness.

Conclusions:

  • An experiment-driven machine learning framework offers a viable and practical alternative to simulation-based optimization for injection molding.
  • This approach contributes to the advancement of experiment-centric smart manufacturing in polymer processing.