A Morphology-Guided Conditional Generative Adversarial Network for Rapid Prediction of Hazard Gas Dispersion Field in...

The accurate and rapid prediction of hazard gas dispersion fields in urban environments is essential for guiding emergency sensor deployment and enabling real-time risk assessment. However, the computational cost associated with Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations hinders their use as real-time forward models, while simplified Gaussian plume models lack the fidelity to resolve building obstruction effects. This study proposes a morphology-guided conditional Generative Adversarial Network (cGAN) framework designed to achieve real-time gas dispersion field modeling in urban environments with complex building configurations. The urban area is discretized into 50 × 50 m grid cells, each characterized by six morphological parameters describing building geometry. K-means clustering categorizes these cells into distinct morphological types. High-fidelity dispersion datasets are then generated for each type using Lattice Boltzmann Method (LBM) simulations. Each sample encodes building geometry, release location, wind speed, and time as multi-channel input images, with the corresponding gas dispersion concentration field is recorded as the output. Two cGAN architectures, Image-to-Image Translation (Pix2Pix) and its high-resolution variant (Pix2PixHD), are employed to learn the mapping from input features to dispersion fields. Model performance is evaluated using four complementary metrics: Fraction within a Factor of Two (FAC2) for prediction accuracy, Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE) for precision, Fractional Bias (FB) for systematic error, and Structural Similarity Index (SSIM) for spatial pattern fidelity. A case study is conducted across a 1176 km² urban district in China. The results demonstrate that under varying wind speeds (0.5-1.5 m/s) and temporal scales (5-60 s), and across five morphological categories, the Pix2PixHD-based model achieves 92.5% prediction accuracy and reproduces 97.6% of the spatial patterns. The proposed framework accelerates computation by approximately 18,000 times compared to traditional CFD, reducing inference time to under 0.1 s per scenario. This sub-second capability enables real-time concentration field estimation for emergency management, and provides a physically informed, computationally feasible forward model that can potentially support sensor-based gas source localization and detection network planning in complex urban environments.