Predictors for Recurrences Within One Year Following Radical Nephrectomy for Non-metastatic Renal Cell Carcinomas

This study aimed to identify predictors of rapid recurrence following radical nephrectomy for non-metastatic renal cell carcinomas.

Patients with non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma who underwent radical nephrectomy between 2014 and 2024 at Okayama University Hospital were included. Rapid recurrence was defined as local or distant metastasis occurring within one year after radical nephrectomy, whereas recurrences occurring beyond one year were classified as non-rapid.

Among a total of 194 patients, 37 (19%) experienced recurrence during a median follow-up of 37 months, with 16 (43%) being classified as experiencing rapid recurrence. The multivariate Cox hazard model revealed that microscopic venous invasion and a size of 60 mm or larger were predictors of rapid recurrence (hazard ratio=4.1, 95% confidence interval=1.5-11.4, p=0.006, and hazard ratio=8.0, 95% confidence interval=2.6-25.0, p<0.001, respectively). Dividing the entire cohort into four groups based on the presence of the two risk factors (0, 1: venous invasion, 1: tumor size, and 2), the median PFS was not estimable, 87, 67, and 7 months, respectively (p<0.001).

Microscopic venous invasion and tumor size of 60 mm or larger were identified as independent predictors of rapid recurrence following radical nephrectomy for non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma.