Artificial intelligence for predicting paediatric acute kidney injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Rupesh Raina1,2,3, Parth Shirode1,2, Raghav Shah3

  • 1Department of Pediatric Nephrology, Akron Children's Hospital, Akron, OH, USA.

Insights

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) show promise for predicting acute kidney injury (AKI) in children. Gradient boosting models achieved the highest predictive accuracy, though further validation is needed.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Nephrology
  • Medical Informatics
  • Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare

Background:

  • Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a significant complication in hospitalized children, leading to increased morbidity and mortality.
  • Early detection and risk stratification of pediatric AKI are crucial for improving patient outcomes.
  • Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) offer potential tools for enhancing AKI prediction in pediatric populations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To systematically review and evaluate the performance of AI/ML models for predicting pediatric AKI.
  • To assess the effectiveness of various AI/ML algorithms in identifying children at risk of AKI.
  • To identify the most promising AI/ML approaches for pediatric AKI prediction in clinical settings.

Main Methods:

  • A systematic literature search was conducted across PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science.
  • Studies utilizing AI/ML models for pediatric AKI prediction were included if they reported key performance metrics.
  • Performance metrics included area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), accuracy, and F1 score.

Main Results:

  • Eleven studies involving 14 AI/ML models and 33,949 pediatric patients were included.
  • Gradient boosting models achieved the highest pooled AUC (0.873), indicating strong predictive performance.
  • Random forest models showed high median sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy, but results were not pooled due to data heterogeneity.

Conclusions:

  • AI/ML models, particularly gradient boosting and random forest, demonstrate potential for predicting pediatric AKI.
  • Limitations such as small sample sizes, data heterogeneity, and inconsistent diagnostic criteria hinder the generalizability of current models.
  • Further research with larger, validated cohorts is necessary to refine and implement these AI/ML tools for clinical use.
Abstract

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