Multicentre validation of the PRECISE scoring system for prostate MRI during active surveillance

Francesco Giganti1,2, Riccardo Leni3, Vinayak Wagaskar4

  • 1Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK. f.giganti@ucl.ac.uk.

European Radiology
|May 4, 2026
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

The Prostate Cancer Radiological Estimation of Change in Sequential Evaluation (PRECISE) score effectively predicts prostate cancer progression during active surveillance. PRECISE 4-5 scores significantly increase the odds of biopsy progression, aiding in timely intervention and reducing unnecessary biopsies.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Radiology
  • Urology

Background:

  • Active surveillance (AS) for prostate cancer requires reliable methods to monitor disease progression.
  • The Prostate Cancer Radiological Estimation of Change in Sequential Evaluation (PRECISE) scoring system was developed to assess changes on serial MRI scans.
  • PRECISE scores range from 1-2 (regression), 3 (stability), to 4-5 (progression).

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the PRECISE score's effectiveness in predicting disease progression in a multicenter international cohort of prostate cancer patients undergoing active surveillance.
  • To determine the diagnostic performance of the PRECISE score in identifying patients who require re-biopsy or treatment.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of data from 1667 patients across 22 international centers (December 2005 - July 2022).
  • Inclusion criteria: at least two MRI scans (baseline and follow-up) and two biopsies (baseline and follow-up, post-second scan).
  • Local radiologists assessed MRI scans using the PRECISE system; sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were calculated based on biopsy outcomes.

Main Results:

  • Patients with PRECISE 4-5 scores had a 4.53-fold increased odds of biopsy progression (Grade Group ≥ 2) compared to those with PRECISE 1-3 scores (p < 0.001).
  • For predicting progression using a PRECISE ≥ 4 cutoff on the first follow-up scan, sensitivity was 57%, specificity 79%, PPV 46%, and NPV 85%.
  • A total of 1667 patients were included, with a median follow-up of 4 years; 24% experienced biopsy progression to Grade Group ≥ 2.

Conclusions:

  • The PRECISE scoring system is a valuable tool for predicting prostate cancer progression in patients on active surveillance.
  • Utilizing PRECISE scores can facilitate timely identification of patients needing re-biopsy or treatment.
  • The PRECISE system may allow for the safe reduction of repeat biopsies in patients with stable MRI findings and PSA kinetics.