Medicaid Home-Based and Community-Based Services Long-Term Care Expenditures: Evaluation of the Balancing Incentive
Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar1, Michael W Robbins2, Esther M Friedman3
1RAND, Santa Monica, CA.
Medical Care
|May 4, 2026
Summary
The Balancing Incentive Program (BIP) increased Medicaid home-based and community-based services (HCBS) spending by 5.2% in participating states. This study provides the first causal estimate of BIP
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Public Health Policy
- Health Economics
Background:
- The Balancing Incentive Program (BIP) aimed to boost Medicaid home-based and community-based services (HCBS) through financial incentives.
- Quantifying BIP's impact on HCBS spending is crucial for policymakers, providers, and consumers.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide the first causal estimate of the Balancing Incentive Program's effect on Medicaid home-based and community-based services (HCBS) spending.
- To analyze the timing of BIP implementation across states and its impact on HCBS expenditure.
Main Methods:
- Utilized state-level expenditure data to compare HCBS spending as a percentage of Long-Term Services and Supports (LTSS) spending.
- Employed a synthetic control method, comparing 17 BIP participant states to a weighted average of 17 eligible non-participant states.
- Assessed cumulative changes in HCBS spending percentages in 2013, 2016, and 2019.
Main Results:
- BIP states cumulatively increased HCBS spending as a percentage of LTSS spending by an average of 5.2 percentage points from FY 2013 to 2019.
- The 95% confidence interval for this increase was 0.0 to 9.8 percentage points.
- This growth was observed in comparison to a synthetic control group of non-participant states.
Conclusions:
- The study provides a causal estimate of BIP's impact on HCBS spending in 17 states.
- The observed increase in HCBS spending represents substantial growth compared to previous studies.
- Findings offer valuable insights for state-run programs aiming to expand HCBS access.
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