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Updated: May 8, 2026

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Predictive Immune Modeling of Solid Tumors
Published on: February 25, 2020
Immunotherapy Response and Survival Outcome by Immunophenotypic Signature in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
Dhruv Bansal1, Ben Ponvilawan2, Dmitrii Grachev3
1Endeavor Health, Evanston, IL.
JCO Precision Oncology
|May 6, 2026
Summary
Immune-hot tumor microenvironment and high tertiary lymphoid structures predict better response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) in lung cancer patients. These factors offer improved predictive value over PD-L1 expression or tumor mutation burden.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Immunology
- Genomics
Background:
- Current biomarkers like PD-L1 and tumor mutation burden for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy in lung cancer are suboptimal.
- Identifying novel predictive biomarkers is crucial for optimizing treatment strategies in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC).
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate immunophenotypic factors within the tumor microenvironment (TME) as potential predictive biomarkers for ICI therapy in LUAD and LUSC patients.
- To evaluate the association of immune TME subtypes and tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS) with treatment response and patient survival.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of clinical, genomic, and transcriptomic data from five patient cohorts (3 public, 2 retrospective).
- Evaluation of immune TME subtype and TLS signature using RNA expression data.
- Deconvolutional cellular decomposition via the Kassandra algorithm and survival analysis using log-rank test and Cox regression.
Main Results:
- An immune-hot phenotype in LUAD correlated with improved overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).
- A high TLS signature predicted superior ICI response rates and improved PFS, independent of multivariate adjustments.
- Increased T-cell and macrophage infiltration were predictive of ICI response, while PD-L1 status and specific mutations (KEAP1, STK11) were linked to poorer survival outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Dynamic immune cell recruitment, characterized by an immune-hot TME and high TLS score, is a strong predictor of ICI benefit in LUAD.
- These immunophenotypic factors show promise as biomarkers for ICI therapy, potentially outperforming current markers.
- Further prospective research is needed to validate these findings and explore combinations with PD-(L)1 inhibitors.