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Related Concept Videos

Uncertainty: Overview00:59

Uncertainty: Overview

In analytical chemistry, we often perform repetitive measurements to detect and minimize inaccuracies caused by both determinate and indeterminate errors. Despite the cares we take, the presence of random errors means that repeated measurements almost never have exactly the same magnitude. The collective difference between these measurements - observed values - and the estimated or expected value is called uncertainty. Uncertainty is conventionally written after the estimated or expected value.
Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error01:10

Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error

The atomic mass of an element varies due to the relative ratio of its isotopes. A sample's relative proportion of oxygen isotopes influences its average atomic mass. For instance, if we were to measure the atomic mass of oxygen from a sample, the mass would be a weighted average of the isotopic masses of oxygen in that sample. Since a single sample is not likely to perfectly reflect the true atomic mass of oxygen for all the molecules of oxygen on Earth, the mass we obtain from this particular...
Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error00:59

Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error

An experiment often consists of more than a single step. In this case, measurements at each step give rise to uncertainty. Because the measurements occur in successive steps, the uncertainty in one step necessarily contributes to that in the subsequent step. As we perform statistical analysis on these types of experiments, we must learn to account for the propagation of uncertainty from one step to the next. The propagation of uncertainty depends on the type of arithmetic operation performed on...

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Related Experiment Video

Updated: May 8, 2026

A Virtual Simulation Experiment of Mechanics: Material Deformation and Failure Based on Scanning Electron Microscopy
06:54

A Virtual Simulation Experiment of Mechanics: Material Deformation and Failure Based on Scanning Electron Microscopy

Published on: January 20, 2023

Uncertainty aware machine learning for bridging simulation and experiment in high throughput materials

Jie Chen1,2,3, Timothy Long4, Michael Wall4

  • 1Department of Mechanical Engineering, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA.

Scientific Reports
|May 6, 2026
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces Uncertainty-aware Simulation-to-Experiment Modeling (USEM) to improve machine learning (ML) for materials discovery. USEM adapts ML models from simulation to experimental data, enhancing accuracy and uncertainty estimation.

Keywords:
Domain adaptationMachine learningMaterials characterizationUncertainty quantificationX-ray diffraction

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Surrogate Model Development for Digital Experiments in Welding
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Last Updated: May 8, 2026

A Virtual Simulation Experiment of Mechanics: Material Deformation and Failure Based on Scanning Electron Microscopy
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A Virtual Simulation Experiment of Mechanics: Material Deformation and Failure Based on Scanning Electron Microscopy

Published on: January 20, 2023

Surrogate Model Development for Digital Experiments in Welding
09:17

Surrogate Model Development for Digital Experiments in Welding

Published on: March 28, 2025

Area of Science:

  • Materials Science
  • Computational Materials Science
  • Machine Learning Applications

Background:

  • High-throughput materials characterization accelerates materials discovery.
  • Machine learning (ML) is crucial for high-throughput characterization but faces challenges with limited labeled experimental data and prediction uncertainty.
  • Adapting ML models from simulation to real-world experiments is difficult due to data discrepancies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a novel approach for adapting ML models trained on simulation data to analyze experimental data, even with limited labels.
  • To incorporate uncertainty estimation into ML models for more reliable predictions in experimental settings.
  • To address the scarcity of labeled experimental data in ML-driven materials discovery.

Main Methods:

  • Developed Uncertainty-aware Simulation-to-Experiment Modeling (USEM).
  • Employed adversarial domain adaptation in the latent space to bridge simulation-experiment data gaps.
  • Integrated spectral-normalized neural Gaussian processes (SNGP) for predictive uncertainty quantification.

Main Results:

  • Demonstrated effective adaptation of ML models from simulation to experimental X-ray diffraction (XRD) data.
  • Achieved improved predictive accuracy on experimental data.
  • Successfully identified out-of-distribution samples, enhancing model trustworthiness.
  • Showcased the ability to analyze unlabeled or sparsely labeled experimental data.

Conclusions:

  • USEM provides a scalable and trustworthy solution for high-throughput characterization in ML-driven materials discovery.
  • The approach enhances the practical application of ML in experimental materials science by overcoming data limitations and uncertainty issues.
  • USEM facilitates more reliable and efficient materials discovery through improved ML model performance on experimental data.