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C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index (CTI) as a predictor of chronic liver disease in adults with macrocytic
Wenjing Shang1, Jiachen Li2, Jinhua Zhuo1
1Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Shandong Provincial Third Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250031, China.
Insights
A new C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index (CTI) may help identify individuals with macrocytic anemia at higher risk for chronic liver disease (CLD). This simple indicator shows promise for early prevention strategies in at-risk populations.
Area of Science:
- Internal Medicine
- Hepatology
- Hematology
Background:
- Macrocytic anemia often indicates liver dysfunction, but reliable predictive biomarkers for chronic liver disease (CLD) are limited.
- Identifying individuals with macrocytic anemia who are at risk for CLD is crucial for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between the C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index (CTI) and the risk of developing chronic liver disease (CLD) in individuals with macrocytic anemia.
- To evaluate the CTI as a potential biomarker for predicting CLD in this specific patient group.
Main Methods:
- A longitudinal study of 693 individuals with macrocytic anemia (mean corpuscular volume > 100 fL) from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS).
- Calculation of the C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index (CTI) using a defined formula.
- Assessment of the association between CTI and CLD risk using sequentially adjusted Cox regression models, restricted cubic splines, and subgroup analyses.
- Development of a clinical nomogram using LASSO regression for risk prediction.
Main Results:
- A higher CTI was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing CLD, even after adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, and socioeconomic factors (HR=1.607, P=0.018).
- Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a consistent linear positive relationship between CTI and CLD risk.
- The predictive ability of CTI was validated across diverse subgroups and incorporated into a prediction tool with fair performance.
Conclusions:
- The C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index (CTI) shows potential as a simple, accessible biomarker for identifying individuals with macrocytic anemia at elevated risk of chronic liver disease (CLD).
- CTI can aid in early risk stratification, facilitating targeted prevention and management strategies for chronic liver disease in patients with macrocytic anemia.
Abstract:
Macrocytic anemia is frequently associated with liver dysfunction; however, reliable biomarkers for predicting chronic liver disease (CLD) in this population remain limited. This longitudinal study included 693 individuals with macrocytic anemia from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Individuals with a mean corpuscular volume (MCV) > 100 fL were defined as having macrocytic anemia. C-reactive protein-triglyceride-glucose index (CTI) was calculated by the formula of CTI = 0.412×Ln(CRP [mg/L]) + Ln(TG [mg/dL] × FPG [mg/dL])/2. Then, the association between CTI and CLD was assessed using three sequentially adjusted Cox regression models, along with restricted cubic splines and subgroup analyses. Model 1 was unadjusted; Model 2 adjusted for demographic characteristics including age, gender, marital status, education, and BMI; Model 3 further adjusted for smoking, drinking, sleep night, and socioeconomic status (SES) based on the Model 2. Key predictors were selected by Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) to construct a clinical nomogram. We found that a higher CTI was linked to a greater chance of developing liver disease, which remained robust after sequential adjustment for confounders. In Model 3, the hazard ratio (HR) for CTI was 1.607 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.085-2.381; P = 0.018). Restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed a linear positive relationship between CTI and CLD risk. This link was consistent across different ages, genders, and lifestyles. When we built a prediction tool using CTI and other factors like age and marital status, it showed a fair ability to estimate a person's risk. CTI may serve as a simple and potentially useful indicator to identify individuals with macrocytic anemia who are at a higher risk of chronic liver disease, helping guide earlier prevention efforts.
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