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The Forensic Tabula Rasa - Agreement on Manner of Death from Injury Patterns to the Extremities Only.
Anton Mittendorf1,2,3, Josephine Gydell4, Yohan Robinson5
1Department of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden. anton.mittendorf@rmv.se.
Forensic Science, Medicine, and Pathology
|May 11, 2026
Summary
Forensic pathologists showed moderate agreement when determining manner of death from extremity sharp force injuries alone. More injuries improved accuracy, but contextual data remains crucial for reliable assessments.
Area of Science:
- Forensic Pathology
- Legal Medicine
- Trauma Analysis
Background:
- Determining manner of death is a key forensic pathology task in Sweden.
- Contextual information is typically vital for these assessments.
- This study isolates autopsy findings of extremity sharp force injuries.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate inter-rater reliability and accuracy of forensic pathologists.
- To assess manner of death determination based solely on autopsy findings of sharp force injuries to extremities.
- To exclude the influence of contextual data in this specific assessment.
Main Methods:
- 23 forensic pathologists and trainees evaluated injury data from 59 cases using body maps.
- Inter-rater agreement was quantified using Fleiss' kappa.
- Sensitivity, specificity, and the impact of experience and injury count were analyzed.
Main Results:
- Moderate agreement was observed among raters.
- Sensitivity was higher for suicides (0.656) than homicides (0.535); specificity was high for both (>0.85).
- Increased number of injuries positively correlated with agreement and sensitivity.
Conclusions:
- Forensic pathologists exhibit moderate agreement in determining manner of death from extremity sharp force injuries.
- Experience influenced specificity, while injury count impacted sensitivity.
- While extremity injury patterns offer some interpretative value, contextual information is essential for definitive assessments.

