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Updated: May 13, 2026

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Evaluating the Function of the Foot Core System in the Elderly
Published on: March 11, 2022
Predicting minimum toe clearance in older adults on different surfaces from level ground data: A machine learning
Sylvester Carter1, Abolfazl Saghafi2
1Physical Therapy Department, Saint Joseph's University, 600 S. 43rd St, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Gait & Posture
|May 11, 2026
Summary
Laboratory measurements of minimum toe clearance (MTC) can predict MTC on challenging surfaces for older adults. This supports using lab data for fall-risk assessment and rehabilitation strategies.
Area of Science:
- Biomechanics
- Gerontology
- Gait Analysis
Background:
- Trips are common on varied surfaces, yet minimum toe clearance (MTC) is typically measured on level ground.
- Existing research shows MTC differences between level and non-level walking.
- Predictive capability of lab-based MTC for real-world, challenging terrains remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if level-ground MTC predicts MTC on carpet and obstacle surfaces in older adults.
- To assess the transferability of laboratory gait data to complex walking conditions.
Main Methods:
- Twenty-one older adults performed gait trials on level, carpet, and 5mm/13mm obstacle surfaces.
- Fifteen level-ground gait variables were used as predictors.
- Nested cross-validation and principal component analysis (PCA) were employed for model development.
Main Results:
- A k-nearest neighbors with PCA (kNN-PCA) model accurately predicted toe-tip MTC (CCC 0.79-0.90, MAE 2.30-3.84mm).
- Prediction accuracy decreased with increasing obstacle height.
- Right-foot MTC was generally more predictable than left-foot MTC.
Conclusions:
- Level-ground gait measurements can reliably estimate MTC on carpet and obstacle surfaces in older adults.
- Laboratory MTC assessments are a practical tool for estimating toe clearance in challenging environments.
- Findings support using lab data for fall-risk assessment and rehabilitation planning.
