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Use of the EpiAirway Model for Characterizing Long-term Host-pathogen Interactions
Published on: September 2, 2011
Multiscale dynamics of epidemic-information coupling model on duplex networks: Role of environmental transmission
Xiaoyu Chen1,2, Tong Chen1,2, Mengfeng Sun1,2
1Department of Mathematics, College of Sciences, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, People's Republic of China.
Abstract:
Nowadays, with the development of Internet technology and the change of climate and environment, the spread of epidemics has become more and more complex. This paper considers a multiscale model coupling epidemics, information and environment, where we adopt the UAU (unaware-aware-unaware) process for information propagation and the modified SIS (susceptible-infective-susceptible) model with environmental infection for epidemic spreading. To describe the differences in epidemic and information transmission pathways and speeds, we use a duplex network framework and introduce a relative timescale parameter. Under a homogeneous mixing hypothesis, we utilize the mean-field approach to reduce the dimension of the model and analyze its dynamics, including epidemic thresholds and the existence and stability of disease-free equilibria. In the case of heterogeneous networks, we conduct a similar analysis. Numerical simulations are performed to confirm the existence of positive equilibria and show that information dissemination [especially the reactions of AS (aware and susceptible) and AI (aware and infected) individuals] and environmental cleanup are crucial. However, rapid information dissemination is not conducive to reducing the final scale of epidemics. A preliminary understanding of the relationship among environment, information, and epidemics in multiscale context is of great significance for preventing and controlling the spread of epidemics in real life.
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