Predicting Hunting Trends: The Effect of Pelt Prices, Urbanization and Weather on the Hunting/Trapping of Twelve...

This study examines structural features that may impact the hunting/trapping of small, fur-bearing animals over time. The prior literature suggests a relationship between species, ecological and human well-being that renders hunting trends of social interest. In that view, factors affecting hunting trends have policy relevance related to how species maintenance/health affects ecosystems and human well-being. This study employs data on twelve fur-bearing species taken by hunting/trapping in Wisconsin from 1930 to 2018. Prior research has identified several predictors of hunting trends (e.g., pelt prices, snow and rainfall amounts, temperature, gasoline prices and urbanization). Controlling for the effect of the prior level of hunting, few exogenous factors predicted species-specific hunting trends in Wisconsin. Macro-factors predicted that hunting trends are outside the control of wildlife regulators and may require innovative strategies to address. The results suggest that some omitted processes may be better predictors of hunting trends.