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Sample size for confidence intervals for percentiles and application to cut-point determination
Chang Chen1, Meiyu Shen1, Yi Tsong1
1U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of Biostatistics, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, US Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD, USA.
Abstract:
Percentiles are important parameters used in statistical applications. Many methods have been proposed for estimating confidence intervals for percentiles. In order to obtain a precise confidence interval, one needs to calculate the required sample size. One common measure of tightness for an interval is its width. Another measure of tightness for a tolerance-interval estimate is the proportion of the population covered by the interval at a specified confidence level. Hence, we propose a sample size determination approach based on the probability of over-coverage of the targeted percentile. In this paper, we derive sample size formulas for two confidence interval methods for percentiles under a normal distribution. For nonparametric methods for percentile estimation in unknown continuous distributions, we propose to determine the sample size based on an approximation method. An application to bioassay cut-point estimation is used to demonstrate the sample size determination.
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