Diagnostic value of gut microbiota profiling and circulating biomarkers to predict post-stroke infection in acute

Weny Rinawati1,2, Aryati Aryati3,4, Abdulloh Machin4,5,6

  • 1Doctoral Program in Medical Science, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia.

Abstract

Insights

Predicting post-stroke infection (PSI) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients is improved by combining circulating biomarkers with gut microbiota analysis. This integrated approach enhances early risk stratification for better preventive strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Microbiome Research

Background:

  • Post-stroke infection (PSI) is a common complication after acute ischemic stroke (AIS).
  • Existing diagnostic biomarkers for PSI have limited accuracy when used alone.
  • Early prediction of PSI is crucial for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the diagnostic value of circulating biomarkers for PSI in AIS patients.
  • To assess the role of gut microbiota profiling in predicting PSI.
  • To determine the combined diagnostic accuracy of biomarkers and microbiota for PSI prediction.

Main Methods:

  • Prospective observational study of 80 AIS patients.
  • Analysis of circulating biomarkers including NMDAR, butyrate, TMAO, RANKL, iFABP, and LPS.
  • Gut microbiota profiling using 16S rRNA sequencing and diagnostic performance evaluation via ROC curves.

Main Results:

  • Post-stroke infection (PSI) occurred in 46.3% of patients.
  • NMDAR demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance (AUC 0.911), followed by other biomarkers.
  • Gut microbiota analysis revealed dysbiosis with enrichment of pathogenic taxa and depletion of beneficial bacteria in infected patients.

Conclusions:

  • Integrating circulating biomarkers with gut microbiota profiling significantly enhances early prediction of PSI in AIS.
  • These findings underscore the importance of the gut-brain-immune axis in post-stroke complications.
  • Combined biomarker-microbiota models offer potential for improved risk stratification and preventive strategies.

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