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The Modified Frailty Index and Its Association With Esophagectomy Outcomes.
Hayley Reddington1, Samih Shafique1, Benjamin Palleiko1
1Division of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School, Worcester, Massachusetts.
The Journal of Surgical Research
|May 14, 2026
Summary
The modified Frailty Index (mFI-5) can predict major complications or mortality after esophagectomy. However, individual comorbidities within the mFI-5 are more predictive than the overall score for these adverse outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Surgical oncology
- Geriatric surgery
- Outcomes research
Background:
- Frailty, characterized by diminished physiological reserve, is linked to adverse surgical outcomes.
- The modified Frailty Index (mFI-5) is a comorbidity-based measure associated with poorer results in some surgical settings.
- The predictive value of mFI-5 for esophagectomy outcomes remains to be fully elucidated.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if the modified Frailty Index (mFI-5) can predict major complications or 30-day mortality (M/M) after esophagectomy.
- To assess the association between mFI-5 score and postoperative M/M in patients undergoing esophagectomy.
- To compare the predictive power of the overall mFI-5 score versus its individual components for esophagectomy outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program targeted database (2016-2022).
- Inclusion of patients undergoing esophagectomy for malignancy.
- Utilized descriptive analysis, univariable, and multivariable logistic regression, with C-statistics to evaluate predictive accuracy for M/M.
Main Results:
- A total of 5657 patients were included in the study.
- The mFI-5 score was significantly associated with M/M in univariate analysis (P<0.0001).
- An mFI-5 score >2 strongly correlated with postoperative M/M (P=0.0002) in multivariable models, with individual comorbidities showing significant predictive value, except for dependent status.
Conclusions:
- Frailty, as measured by mFI-5, is associated with poor outcomes in esophagectomy patients.
- Individual comorbid conditions comprising the mFI-5 are more strongly related to esophagectomy outcomes than the overall frailty score.
- Further research is recommended to explore alternative measures of physiological frailty for improved prediction.
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