To Treat or Not to Treat: Navigating Early-Stage CLL in the Era of Targeted Therapy

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is most frequently diagnosed at early, asymptomatic stages (Rai 0/Binet A), in which a watch-and-wait strategy remains the standard of care, based on historical trials demonstrating no overall survival benefit from early treatment. Over the past two decades, however, substantial advances in genomic profiling-including immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable region (IGHV) mutational status, TP53 disruption, recurrent gene mutations, and complex karyotype-have uncovered marked biological heterogeneity among early-stage patients and substantially improved prediction of disease progression. In parallel, targeted therapies such as Bruton tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitors and venetoclax-based combinations have transformed the management of symptomatic CLL, raising renewed interest in whether early intervention might favorably alter the natural history of biologically high-risk disease. In this review, we critically examine the evolution of prognostication in early-stage CLL, integrate contemporary molecular and clinical risk models, and summarize evidence from both historical chemotherapy-era studies and modern early-intervention trials. We discuss key unresolved controversies, including reliance on surrogate endpoints, the risks of overtreatment, and the persistent absence of an overall survival benefit across all early-treatment strategies. Finally, we outline future research priorities, including refined genomic stratification, minimal residual disease-driven (MRD)-driven approaches, and combination targeted therapies currently under investigation. Despite renewed interest in preemptive treatment, available evidence supports continued observation for asymptomatic patients outside clinical trials.