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Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
Published on: March 31, 2023
The Ireland BioClim dataset for observational and future climate projections
Parvaneh Nowbakht1,2, Paraic C Ryan3,4, Jingyu Wang3,4
1Department of Geography, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland. parvaneh.nowbakht@ucc.ie.
None:
Bioclimatic variables are essential indicators used across disciplines including ecology, geography, environmental science, and regional planning. While global datasets such as WorldClim and CHELSA provide climate information, the absence of regionally tailored datasets limits the ability to capture fine-scale climatic variability, which is critical for regional analysis. The Translate project addresses this gap by providing high-resolution (~1 km) observed and projected climate data for Ireland, enabling the generation of region-specific bioclimatic variables. The observational dataset was derived from long-term climate records using quality-controlled interpolation of national station data. An ensemble-based approach using ~200 Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations was developed to generate percentile-based projections (10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles) across Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) and multiple time periods. These percentiles represent a range of plausible climate futures and support uncertainty assessment. Three complementary approaches were applied: full-ensemble, period-specific, and scenario-specific outputs across RCPs and time periods. The observational and full-ensemble datasets each comprise 57 GeoTIFFs, with additional outputs provided for period- and scenario-specific analyses.
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