Multimodal intervention benefits: Responder analysis of J-MINT PRIME Kanagawa trial

The J-MINT PRIME Kanagawa trial was an 18-month multimodal intervention (incorporating exercise, nutrition, and metabolic management) for dementia prevention. Because the primary analysis showed no significant benefits, we performed an exploratory responder analysis to identify responsive subpopulations.

We analyzed the Full Analysis Set comprising 188 participants. Classification and regression tree (CART) analysis, applied to the intervention arm, identified baseline predictors of cognitive improvement. These rules were then applied to the entire cohort to evaluate treatment effects on the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) using fully adjusted mixed-effects models for repeated measures (MMRM).

CART identified a "Target Group" (N = 108) characterized by baseline profiles such as an MMSE score < 28 or specific metabolic ranges (e.g., LDL-C < 135 mg/dL). Within this target group, the intervention significantly preserved MMSE trajectories compared with the control group (group × time interaction, P = 0.022). In contrast, the Non-Target Group (N = 80), consisting of high-functioning individuals (MMSE ≥ 28), exhibited no significant group × time interaction.

Multimodal interventions may effectively preserve global cognition in older adults with sub-threshold cognitive decline. Careful targeting of appropriate populations, while considering potential longitudinal measurement artifacts (e.g., practice effects), is essential. These findings provide a hypothesis-generating framework that warrants external validation in future prevention trials.