Predictors of Survival Following Acute Nontraumatic Mesenteric Ischemia in North India: A Prospective Observational

Vivek K Bhagat1, Ashok K Puranik2, Satya Prakash Meena1

  • 1General Surgery, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Jodhpur, Jodhpur, IND.

Cureus
|May 18, 2026
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

Acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) has a high mortality rate. Key predictors of death include patient age, low pH, elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and C-reactive protein (CRP), and extensive bowel involvement.

Area of Science:

  • Gastroenterology
  • Surgical Oncology
  • Critical Care Medicine

Background:

  • Acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) is a critical condition with high mortality and no definitive diagnostic markers.
  • Early diagnosis and prognostic assessment are crucial for improving patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify morbidity and prognostic factors influencing postoperative outcomes in patients with bowel ischemia requiring surgery.
  • To analyze predictors of mortality in patients undergoing surgery for AMI.

Main Methods:

  • A prospective observational study conducted in North India from July 2019 to December 2020.
  • Included 40 adult patients undergoing surgery for bowel ischemia, excluding trauma cases.
  • Collected data on patient demographics, clinical findings, laboratory values, and postoperative outcomes.

Main Results:

  • Overall mortality was 62.5% (25/40). Survivors had higher arterial pH, lower C-reactive protein (CRP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels compared to non-survivors.
  • Deceased patients had significantly shorter remaining small bowel length distal to the duodenojejunal (DJ) junction (45 cm vs. 142 cm).
  • Large bowel involvement (15% of patients) resulted in 100% mortality. Common complications included relaparotomy (37.5%) and anastomotic leak (15%).

Conclusions:

  • AMI remains a high-risk condition, especially with late presentation, extensive bowel compromise, and systemic complications.
  • Predictors of mortality include patient age, arterial pH, LDH, CRP, serum lactate, remaining small bowel length, and large bowel involvement.
  • Antiplatelet drugs may help prevent severe complications.

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