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On the Inclusion of Non-Concurrent Controls in Platform Trials With an Interim Analysis.

Pavla Krotka1, Martin Posch2, Marta Bofill Roig1

  • 1Department of Statistics and Operations Research and Institute for Research and Innovation in Health (IRIS), Universitat Politécnica de Catalunya - BarcelonaTech (UPC), Barcelona, Spain.

Statistics in Medicine
|May 18, 2026
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Platform trials can use non-concurrent controls, but interim analyses may bias results. A new method reduces bias and improves power when using non-concurrent controls with interim analyses in platform trials.

Keywords:
bias adjustmentinterim analysisnon‐concurrent controlsplatform trialstreatment effect estimation

Related Experiment Videos

Area of Science:

  • Biostatistics
  • Clinical Trial Design

Background:

  • Platform trials offer efficient drug development by testing multiple treatments with a shared control arm.
  • Non-concurrent controls can enhance platform trial analysis but may introduce bias, especially with time trends and interim analyses.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the impact of interim analyses on treatment effect estimation in platform trials using non-concurrent controls.
  • To propose and assess a novel statistical method for unbiased estimation in such settings.

Main Methods:

  • A frequentist regression model was adapted for a platform trial with two experimental arms and a delayed second arm, incorporating non-concurrent controls and time adjustments.
  • The study simulated a platform trial with an interim analysis in the first arm to assess bias in the second arm's treatment effect.

Main Results:

  • An unadjusted regression model using non-concurrent controls can introduce bias in treatment effect estimation for the second arm following an interim analysis in the first arm.
  • The proposed novel estimator significantly reduced bias and type I error rate inflation.

Conclusions:

  • Interim analyses in platform trials with non-concurrent controls require careful methodological consideration to avoid bias.
  • The newly proposed estimator offers a robust solution, enhancing reliability and power compared to traditional methods.