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A Population-Based Nomogram for Predicting Overall Survival in Pulmonary Sarcomatoid Carcinoma With Real-World
Shuwen Cui1, Yimeng Li1, Xiaoyu Zhang1
1Department of Medical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, People's Republic of China.
This study identifies key factors influencing overall survival in pulmonary sarcomatoid carcinoma (PSC). A new nomogram accurately predicts survival, highlighting immunotherapy as a beneficial treatment for PSC patients.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Thoracic Surgery
- Cancer Research
Background:
- Pulmonary sarcomatoid carcinoma (PSC) is a rare, aggressive thoracic malignancy.
- Limited understanding of prognostic factors and survival prediction in PSC.
Purpose of the Study:
- Investigate prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in PSC.
- Develop and validate a predictive risk classifier (nomogram) for PSC patient OS.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 765 PSC patients (SEER database and single institution).
- Univariate/multivariate Cox regression and Lasso-Cox models for prognostic factor identification.
- Nomogram construction and validation using ROC curves, C-index, calibration plots, and DCA.
Main Results:
- Identified independent prognostic factors for PSC OS: sex, TNM stage, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, liver metastasis.
- Developed nomogram demonstrated excellent predictive performance and clinical utility.
- Lasso-Cox revealed surgery and immunotherapy as protective; ECOG status, comorbidities, and distant metastasis as risk factors.
Conclusions:
- The developed nomogram reliably predicts individual OS probability for PSC patients.
- Immunotherapy is associated with significantly improved survival in real-world PSC cohorts.
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