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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Spatial and temporal trends of multiple sclerosis mortality in Spain, 1992-2022
Ángel Zornoza-Valverde1, María Pastor-Valero2, Julián Librero-López3
1Departamento de Medicina Clínica, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Miguel Hernández de Elche, Alicante, Spain.
Multiple sclerosis (MS) mortality in Spain increased from 1992-2022, with a notable north-south gradient. The female-to-male mortality ratio also rose, particularly for those born between 1950-1960.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neurological disease with significant public health implications.
- Understanding temporal and geographic trends in MS mortality is crucial for resource allocation and intervention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze mortality trends of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Spain between 1992 and 2022.
- To investigate geographic, age, and sex-specific mortality patterns, including period and cohort effects.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective population-based ecological study utilizing Spanish National Statistics Institute data.
- Identification of MS deaths via ICD-9 (340) and ICD-10 (G35) codes.
- Analysis using spatial Age-Period-Cohort models and Joinpoint regression for national trends.
Main Results:
- A total of 6524 MS deaths occurred between 1992-2022, with a 1% annual increase in both sexes.
- A significant north-south gradient in MS mortality was observed across Spain.
- The highest risk cohort comprised individuals born between 1950 and 1960, with a rising female-to-male mortality ratio.
Conclusions:
- MS mortality has increased in Spain from 1992-2022, with distinct geographic patterns.
- While not statistically significant, the increasing female-to-male mortality ratio warrants further investigation.
- Findings highlight population-level associations and the need for continued epidemiological surveillance of MS.
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