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Remain-In or Opt-Out: An Economic Evaluation of Medicare Opt-Outs in Orthopaedic Surgery
1From the Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
Background:
Medicare reimbursements for orthopaedic surgeries have consistently declined over past decades, raising concerns about surgeons opting out of Medicare and reducing coverage for older adults. However, little is known about this phenomenon.
Methods:
We conducted a retrospective evaluation of orthopaedic surgeon Medicare opt-outs as of January 2025. We analyzed charge-payment ratios of orthopaedic surgeries performed in areas with versus without opt-outs and examined the 3-year moving averages and population demographics for areas with opt-outs.
Results:
As of January 2025, 341 orthopaedic surgeons have opted out of Medicare, representing 0.7% of all opted-out practitioners and 1.7% of 2022 Medicare-enrolled orthopaedic surgeons. The median charge-payment ratio for all orthopaedic surgeries is 18.3% higher in areas with these opt-outs compared with those without (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.7% to 30.1%; P < 0.0001) and 34.5% higher for joint arthroplasty and reconstruction surgeries (95% CI, 9.2% to 51.9%; P = 0.0003). These opt-outs primarily occurred in high-cost regions, with approximately 70% of surgeons practicing in areas with regional price parities greater than 110% of the national average. Consequently, Medicare opt-outs by orthopaedic surgeons have risen from 0.3 to 32.0 annually from 2002-2004 to 2022-2024. In 2022, there were 958 reported Medicare beneficiaries of orthopaedic surgeries per zip code in areas with opt-outs, 612 higher than in areas without opt-outs (95% CI, 277 to 629; P < 0.0001). The median proportion of Medicare-eligible individuals by age in areas with opt-outs is 35.8%, 18.1% higher than the national rate (95% CI, 16.3% to 19.3%; P < 0.0001).
Conclusions:
Orthopaedic surgeons practicing in high-cost and relatively lower reimbursed areas are increasingly opting out of Medicare, disproportionately affecting older adults and higher need areas.
Clinical Relevance:
These results suggest that correcting declining Medicare surgery reimbursements is critical to minimize coverage lapses for a growing older adult population, which is an important issue in orthopaedic surgery.
