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Advancing solar and wind penetration in China through energy complementarity
Yuan Hu1,2, Hou Jiang3, Chuan Zhang4
1Institute of Remote Sensing and Geographical Information Systems, School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Nature
|May 20, 2026
Summary
Harnessing solar and wind energy complementarity significantly reduces power variability and enhances renewable integration. Nationwide coordination of these resources boosts effective renewable penetration, offering scalable solutions for power systems.
Area of Science:
- Renewable Energy Systems
- Power Systems Integration
- Geospatial Analysis
Background:
- Rapid expansion of solar and wind energy increases power curtailment due to inherent variability.
- Spatiotemporal complementarity between solar and wind resources is key to enhancing renewable integration.
- Existing assessments of complementarity often rely on hypothetical scenarios, lacking real-world infrastructure data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a data-driven assessment of solar-wind complementarity using a unified national inventory.
- To evaluate how solar-wind complementarity manifests under real-world infrastructure.
- To determine the system-level integration outcomes of solar-wind complementarity.
Main Methods:
- Developed a national inventory of 319,972 solar photovoltaic facilities and 91,609 wind turbines in 2022.
- Utilized sub-meter satellite imagery and a deep-learning framework for facility identification.
- Analyzed the impact of geographic scope on solar-wind complementarity effectiveness.
Main Results:
- Solar-wind complementarity substantially reduces generation variability, with effectiveness increasing with geographic scope.
- Nationwide inter-provincial coordination increased effective renewable penetration by 99.88 TWh in an 80% dispatchable-flexibility system.
- This increase represents 9.1% of total solar and wind generation, equivalent to 120 hours of national average load.
Conclusions:
- Energy complementarity is a scalable, system-wide mechanism for advancing solar and wind penetration.
- Inter-regional coordination plays a crucial role in enhancing renewable integration in large power systems.
- Findings offer broadly applicable insights for optimizing renewable energy systems.
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